Who's betting on “Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $192K traded all time
- Held now
- $43K by 303 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 203 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 98 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 50¢ and No at 50¢, a 50% implied chance of Yes. $192K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
303 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 301 of them. The largest Yes holder is bosshog, with $7.2K on it, $228K lifetime profit over 1,057 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $4.5K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3.6K on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $245 on No.
- Holders
- 205
- Money on it
- $27K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $3.6K
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $245
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$27K on it
- 1bosshog72% won of 1,057 · whale$7.2K+$228K lifetime
- 2Sagand77% won of 62 · sniper$3.6K+$21K lifetime
- 3cat-dog71% won of 208 · balanced$2.5K+$43K lifetime
- 4laflamablanca74% won of 78 · balanced$1.2K+$462 lifetime
- 5doil73% won of 406 · whale$1.1K+$11K lifetime
No$16K on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$4.5K+$2.3M lifetime
- 20x871265% won of 206$2.0K−$4.0K lifetime
- 3bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$1.6K+$198K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.6K+$203K lifetime
- 5opo094% won of 17$1.3K+$504 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
19 more- You Can See Everything$46K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: No
- Dune: Part Three$40K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Digger$35K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- La Bola Negra$34K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Wild Horse Nine$32K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- The Drama$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Fjord$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Project Hail Mary$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- The Debut$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- The Invite$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Josephine$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Behemoth!$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- The Social Reckoning$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Tony$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Artificial$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- I Play Rocky$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Obsession$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Elsinore$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
303 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 301 of them. The largest Yes holder is bosshog, with $7.2K on it, $228K lifetime profit over 1,057 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $4.5K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 50¢ and No at 50¢, a 50% implied chance of Yes. $192K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.