Who's betting on “Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $469 by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 40% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $469 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x7b9429Af68A20E2d967dDdeCC4D8D9E9c40a6C08-1758616523712, with $51 on it, $111 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $77 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,298 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $325
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $144
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$325 on it
- 10x7b9429Af68A20E2d967dDdeCC4D8D9E9c40a6C08-1758616523712no record yet$51−$111 lifetime
- 2negativePNL32% won of 201 · noise$30+$3.8K lifetime
- 3doil73% won of 406 · whale$27+$11K lifetime
- 4pleasefademe38% won of 139 · noise$24+$469 lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$21+$28K lifetime
No$144 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,298$77−$52K lifetime
- 20x0fa2…05aa78% won of 722 · balanced$39+$3.4K lifetime
- 3GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$19+$39K lifetime
- 4robert-mukhametov82% won of 1,365$9−$2.3K lifetime
- 50xc5Da0479929C51dA75253B93E980686DC8085F86-177093078917853% won of 1,190$0−$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
9 more- Matt Damon$47K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- Tom Cruise$31K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- Andrew Scott$26K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- John Malkovich$24K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money: Yes
- Brad Pitt$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Robert Pattinson$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Jeremy Strong$11K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- John Turturro$10K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Ryan Gosling$10K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $469 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x7b9429Af68A20E2d967dDdeCC4D8D9E9c40a6C08-1758616523712, with $51 on it, $111 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $77 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,298 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.