Who's betting on “Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $47K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.8K by 105 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 75 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.
Who holds it
105 wallets hold a position worth $7.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is oliman2, with $522 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,228 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $4.4K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $47 on Yes.
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $47
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.5K on it
No$5.3K on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$4.4K+$2.3M lifetime
- 2lissartter56% won of 2,997$369−$287K lifetime
- 3bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$115+$5.1K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,298$66−$52K lifetime
- 5mi4467% won of 167$66−$42 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
9 more- Tom Cruise$31K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- Andrew Scott$26K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- John Malkovich$24K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money: Yes
- Brad Pitt$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Timothée Chalamet$13K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Robert Pattinson$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Jeremy Strong$11K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- John Turturro$10K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Ryan Gosling$10K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
105 wallets hold a position worth $7.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is oliman2, with $522 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,228 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $4.4K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.