Who's betting on “Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 64% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.1K by 81 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 25% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 43¢ and No at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
Who holds it
81 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is Highboard, with $835 on it, $29K lifetime loss over 204 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is Xyzeric, with $708 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 215 markets (43% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1Highboard51% won of 204$835−$29K lifetime
- 2golfpro202569% won of 159 · balanced$822+$53K lifetime
- 3HardradaHno record yet$755+$0 lifetime
- 4buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$487+$83K lifetime
- 5leftisright51% won of 183 · balanced$405+$1.6K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 1Xyzeric43% won of 215$708−$1.3K lifetime
- 2mariacryptoss57% won of 51 · balanced$119+$352 lifetime
- 3Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$117−$59K lifetime
- 4maritime630740% won of 377 · noise$72+$2.6K lifetime
- 5WholeFawn127845% won of 101 · noise$61+$34 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
9 more- Matt Damon$47K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- Tom Cruise$31K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Andrew Scott$26K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Brad Pitt$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Timothée Chalamet$13K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Robert Pattinson$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Jeremy Strong$11K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- John Turturro$10K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Ryan Gosling$10K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
81 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is Highboard, with $835 on it, $29K lifetime loss over 204 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is Xyzeric, with $708 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 215 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 43¢ and No at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.