Who's betting on “Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 67 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 60% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 41% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on September 24, 2026 and resolved Yes. $21K has been traded on it.
The smart money
60% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
Who holds it
67 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them.
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $123
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in this event
7 more- 6.00%$54K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 5.70%$54K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: No
- 5.80%$49K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- 5.90%$34K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- 5.65%$20K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 5.60%$13K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?$13K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?"?
This market closed on September 24, 2026 and resolved Yes. $21K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 24, 2026 and resolved Yes. $21K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.