Who's betting on “Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 89 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $57 by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 0% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 89 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 89 points. A week ago, Yes by 89 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $57 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is anciano, with $4 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $41 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,228 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $43
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$13 on it
- 1anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$4+$37K lifetime
- 2q9s7c73jdkke38974% won of 97 · whale$3+$799 lifetime
- 3oneAce42% won of 89 · noise$1+$51K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$1−$377K lifetime
- 5Bulan43% won of 215 · noise$1+$14K lifetime
No$43 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,228$41−$49K lifetime
- 20x9030…60e449% won of 246$2−$577 lifetime
- 3sportkingzer40% won of 273$1−$1.9K lifetime
- 4Gadura31% won of 42$0−$31 lifetime
- 5sebelmaestro0% won of 446$0−$8.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
24 more- Caleb Williams$149K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Saquon Barkley$144K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Baker Mayfield$139K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Justin Herbert$86K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Lamar Jackson$69K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Josh Allen$66K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Jaxson Dart$48K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Brock Purdy$48K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Jalen Hurts$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dak Prescott$45K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Joe Burrow$44K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Trevor Lawrence$38K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Patrick Mahomes$38K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Drake Maye$38K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Jaxson Smith-Njigba$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Goff$32K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Matthew Stafford$28K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Bo Nix$27K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Christian McCaffrey$27K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Jordan Love$26K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Derrick Henry$26K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jahmyr Gibbs$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Myles Garrett$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Justin Jefferson$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $57 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is anciano, with $4 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $41 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,228 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 89 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 89 points. A week ago, Yes by 89 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.