Who's betting on “Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 112 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 59 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 53 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
Who holds it
112 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $309 on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,589 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $326 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won).
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $775
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 10xa0f2…184842% won of 2,589$309−$3.5M lifetime
- 2C-Ride80% won of 49 · balanced$105+$778 lifetime
- 3DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$99+$104K lifetime
- 4dabigferda45% won of 175$83−$1.6K lifetime
- 50xe4C1E398aAa5C9E788abcD2EBf46069Eb226F022-177197471891179% won of 47 · balanced$76+$8.1K lifetime
No$775 on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$326+$335K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$198+$129K lifetime
- 3bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$95+$5.1K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,306$39−$51K lifetime
- 5LesterDiamond41% won of 3,957 · noise$24+$203K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
24 more- Caleb Williams$149K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Saquon Barkley$144K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Baker Mayfield$139K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Justin Herbert$86K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Lamar Jackson$69K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Josh Allen$66K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Jaxson Dart$48K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Brock Purdy$48K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Jalen Hurts$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dak Prescott$45K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Joe Burrow$44K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- Trevor Lawrence$38K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Drake Maye$38K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Jaxson Smith-Njigba$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Goff$32K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Matthew Stafford$28K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Bo Nix$27K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Christian McCaffrey$27K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Jordan Love$26K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Derrick Henry$26K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jahmyr Gibbs$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Myles Garrett$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Justin Jefferson$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Sam Darnold$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
112 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $309 on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,589 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $326 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.