Who's betting on “Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $149K traded all time
- Held now
- $48K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $149K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $48K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $5.0K on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,583 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is termsandcondition, with $18K on it, $4.3K lifetime profit over 9 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $8.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $40K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8.0K on it
- 10xa0f2…184842% won of 2,583$5.0K−$3.5M lifetime
- 2catalanpaths73% won of 240 · balanced$1.1K+$33K lifetime
- 3lug55% won of 1,250 · whale$529+$62K lifetime
- 4mlobinho0038% won of 16$248−$116 lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$141+$334K lifetime
No$40K on it
- 1termsandcondition56% won of 9$18K+$4.3K lifetime
- 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$5.4K−$59K lifetime
- 34qfrankie68% won of 357 · whale$4.9K+$97K lifetime
- 4piratesfan131346% won of 906 · whale$2.3K+$297K lifetime
- 5cryplor13% won of 217$1.9K−$37K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
24 more- Saquon Barkley$144K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Baker Mayfield$139K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Justin Herbert$86K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Lamar Jackson$69K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Josh Allen$66K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Jaxson Dart$48K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Brock Purdy$48K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- Jalen Hurts$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dak Prescott$45K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Joe Burrow$44K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Trevor Lawrence$38K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Patrick Mahomes$38K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Drake Maye$38K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Jaxson Smith-Njigba$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Goff$32K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Matthew Stafford$28K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Bo Nix$27K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Christian McCaffrey$27K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Jordan Love$26K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Derrick Henry$26K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jahmyr Gibbs$25K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Myles Garrett$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Justin Jefferson$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Sam Darnold$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $48K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $5.0K on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,583 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is termsandcondition, with $18K on it, $4.3K lifetime profit over 9 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $149K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.