Who's betting on “Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 31% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $66K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 103 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 31% 77 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 9% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $66K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
31% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
Who holds it
103 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $6.9K on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,583 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $4.2K on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
- Holders
- 77
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12K on it
- 10xa0f2…184842% won of 2,583$6.9K−$3.5M lifetime
- 2omoi0i081% won of 581 · whale$691+$18K lifetime
- 3leegunner73% won of 1,144 · whale$625+$384K lifetime
- 40xe9f7…00f940% won of 181$516−$41K lifetime
- 5WALLYFIGHTS74% won of 409$338−$111K lifetime
No$4.9K on it
- 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$4.2K−$59K lifetime
- 2oliman264% won of 1,228 · whale$173+$106K lifetime
- 3bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$123+$5.1K lifetime
- 4amirio1170% won of 54$85−$3.1K lifetime
- 5pp10177% won of 348 · whale$64+$5.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
24 more- Caleb Williams$149K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Saquon Barkley$144K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Baker Mayfield$139K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Justin Herbert$86K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Lamar Jackson$69K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Jaxson Dart$48K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Brock Purdy$48K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Jalen Hurts$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dak Prescott$45K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Joe Burrow$44K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Trevor Lawrence$38K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Patrick Mahomes$38K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Drake Maye$38K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Jaxson Smith-Njigba$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Goff$32K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Matthew Stafford$28K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Bo Nix$27K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Christian McCaffrey$27K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Jordan Love$26K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Derrick Henry$26K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jahmyr Gibbs$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Myles Garrett$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Justin Jefferson$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Sam Darnold$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
103 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $6.9K on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,583 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $4.2K on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $66K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
31% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.