Who's betting on “Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?”?
Smart money leans No: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 69 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $86K traded all time
- Held now
- $30K by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 11% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 15, 2027.
The smart money
11% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 77 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is JUSTINHERBERTMVP, with $346 on it, $391K lifetime loss over 201 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is 4qfrankie, with $21K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 357 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $875
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $29K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$875 on it
- 1JUSTINHERBERTMVP92% won of 201$346−$391K lifetime
- 20xa0f2…184842% won of 2,586$271−$3.5M lifetime
- 3ddovno record yet$70+$0 lifetime
- 4hampstar53% won of 485$56−$25K lifetime
- 5HuntersMethDealer77% won of 211 · whale$53+$31K lifetime
No$29K on it
- 14qfrankie68% won of 357 · whale$21K+$97K lifetime
- 2legendofanime61% won of 757$2.3K−$7.4K lifetime
- 3StudyPrediction72% won of 686$2.2K−$8.8K lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,972 · whale$1.6K+$163K lifetime
- 5DavidTrezeguet55% won of 655$1.1K−$267K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
24 more- Caleb Williams$149K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- Saquon Barkley$144K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Baker Mayfield$139K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Lamar Jackson$69K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Josh Allen$66K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Jaxson Dart$48K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Brock Purdy$48K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- Jalen Hurts$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dak Prescott$45K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Joe Burrow$44K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Trevor Lawrence$38K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Patrick Mahomes$38K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Drake Maye$38K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Jaxson Smith-Njigba$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Goff$32K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Matthew Stafford$28K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Bo Nix$27K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Christian McCaffrey$27K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Jordan Love$26K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Derrick Henry$26K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Jahmyr Gibbs$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Myles Garrett$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Justin Jefferson$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Sam Darnold$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is JUSTINHERBERTMVP, with $346 on it, $391K lifetime loss over 201 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is 4qfrankie, with $21K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 357 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 15, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
11% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 77 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 15, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.