Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?”?

Politics · $134K volume · Closed · Updated October 1, 2026

This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $134K has been traded on it.

22% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.

151 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 151 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money share
22%
Holders
70
Money on it
$11
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
81%
Holders
81
Money on it
$21K
Holders' winrate
79%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?"?

151 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 151 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?"?

This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $134K has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

22% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $134K has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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