Who's betting on “Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?”?
Politics · $27K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 20, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
81% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
34 wallets hold a position worth $475 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them.
- Smart money share
- 81%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $48
- Holders' winrate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 82% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $428
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $475 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.