Who's betting on “Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $190 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is pengu1n, with $684 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 2,450 markets (26% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $66 on No.
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $312
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 1 · $66
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$312 on it
- 1buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$190+$83K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$53−$378K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$19+$28K lifetime
- 40xd4b7…d64480% won of 10$15+$259 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$14+$254K lifetime
No$1.8K on it
- 1pengu1n26% won of 2,450 · noise$684+$1.8K lifetime
- 2bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$207+$5.1K lifetime
- 3kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$205+$1.5K lifetime
- 4SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$128−$9.0K lifetime
- 5oliman264% won of 1,228 · whale$128+$106K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
6 more- Tom Cruise$32K vol.Yes 53%No 47%Smart money split
- Timothée Chalamet$20K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- Robert Pattinson$15K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: No
- Jaafar Jackson$15K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Matt Damon$12K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money: No
- Ryan Gosling$10K vol.Yes 48%No 53%Smart money: No
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $190 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is pengu1n, with $684 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 2,450 markets (26% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 21, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.