Who's betting on “Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 67% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
The smart money
67% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is doil, with $394 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 406 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $65 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $144
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.6K on it
- 1doil73% won of 406 · whale$394+$11K lifetime
- 2wish-81% won of 1,108 · whale$339+$71K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$228−$378K lifetime
- 4Artvanderlee60% won of 204$181−$2.1K lifetime
- 5bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$127+$5.1K lifetime
No$144 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$65+$203K lifetime
- 2pengu1n26% won of 2,450 · noise$19+$1.8K lifetime
- 3HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$18+$325K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$15+$28K lifetime
- 50x67552A1784E6ce3C22a53F0821d209B89995aC4E-173057692884757% won of 7$7+$243 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
6 more- Tom Cruise$32K vol.Yes 53%No 47%Smart money split
- Timothée Chalamet$20K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- Robert Pattinson$15K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: No
- Jaafar Jackson$15K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Pedro Pascal$13K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money split
- Ryan Gosling$10K vol.Yes 48%No 53%Smart money: No
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is doil, with $394 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 406 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $65 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 21, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.