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Who's betting on “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?”?

Finance$24K traded44 holdersEnds January 5, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes
98%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$24K
traded all time
Held now
$3.9K
by 44 wallets
Smart share · Yes
79%
19 scored holders
Smart share · No
80%
25 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.

The smart money

79% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

44 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is DualDelta, with $51 on it, $41K lifetime profit over 208 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is phdcapital, with $2.0K on it, $59K lifetime profit over 294 markets (100% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share79%
7 days ago 79%a day ago 79%now 79%
Holders
19
Money on it
$80
Holders' win rate
35%
No98%
Smart money share80% ▲ 7 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 82%a day ago 74%now 80%
Holders
25
Money on it
$3.8K
Holders' win rate
88%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$80 on it

  1. 1DualDelta34% won of 208 · noise$51+$41K lifetime
  2. 2thecaricature44% won of 717$6−$7.9K lifetime
  3. 30xd2e3…955e37% won of 27$4−$6 lifetime
  4. 40x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-177452262299243% won of 30$4−$292 lifetime
  5. 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$2−$485K lifetime

No$3.8K on it

  1. 1phdcapital100% won of 294 · whale$2.0K+$59K lifetime
  2. 2punter9093% won of 238$490−$1.2K lifetime
  3. 3rpontici94% won of 344 · grinder$280+$3.7K lifetime
  4. 4balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$273+$1.2M lifetime
  5. 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$258+$570 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?"?

44 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is DualDelta, with $51 on it, $41K lifetime profit over 208 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is phdcapital, with $2.0K on it, $59K lifetime profit over 294 markets (100% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

79% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.