Who's betting on “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $127K traded all time
- Held now
- $21K by 178 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 87 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 91 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $127K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
178 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 178 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $962 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $4.7K on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 91
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.9K on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$962+$104K lifetime
- 2k7X9mP2qW452% won of 327 · whale$330+$28K lifetime
- 3jayG871% won of 75$232−$18K lifetime
- 4tetrose55% won of 570 · whale$166+$244K lifetime
- 5Banditoes67% won of 238 · balanced$111+$4.9K lifetime
No$18K on it
- 1Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$4.7K+$801K lifetime
- 2Noahrichards9877% won of 44 · balanced$2.2K+$11K lifetime
- 3DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$2.1K+$95K lifetime
- 4deltasniper57% won of 268$1.3K−$48K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$766+$334K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
13 more- ↑$2.0T$157K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- ↓$750B$134K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- ↓$800B$113K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- ↑$1.75T$91K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- ↓$500B$64K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- ↓$700B$64K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- ↓$600B$61K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- ↑$2.5T$59K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- ↑$3.0T$34K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↑$4.0T$24K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- ↑$5.0T$15K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↑$1.0T$139K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- ↑$1.25T$136K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?"?
178 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 178 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $962 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $4.7K on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $127K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.