Who's betting on “Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $33K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 109 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 69 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
109 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hauchn, with $400 on it, $230K lifetime profit over 224 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 0xa169…1b73, with $934 on it, $6.6K lifetime profit over 1,505 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1Hauchn43% won of 224 · noise$400+$230K lifetime
- 2Machaon49% won of 211 · whale$279+$7.3K lifetime
- 3gambler92551% won of 535 · whale$191+$6.7K lifetime
- 4suntori47% won of 71,827$68−$12M lifetime
- 5acal79% won of 520 · whale$34+$15K lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 10xa169…1b7350% won of 1,505 · balanced$934+$6.6K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$353+$829K lifetime
- 3thekleenex61% won of 115 · balanced$290+$70 lifetime
- 4chaosj8877% won of 410 · whale$216+$22K lifetime
- 50x80e9F3b8e34027A7f4C7517d7E3d56A5A5B438A8-172842327477358% won of 114 · balanced$165+$73 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
2 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
109 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hauchn, with $400 on it, $230K lifetime profit over 224 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 0xa169…1b73, with $934 on it, $6.6K lifetime profit over 1,505 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.