
Who's betting on “Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $60 by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 33% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $60 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Huye168, with $1 on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 1,136 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is 9cBa, with $35 on it, $2 lifetime loss over 7 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $56
- Holders' win rate
- 97%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 1Huye16866% won of 1,136 · whale$1+$1.1K lifetime
- 2acal79% won of 520 · whale$1+$15K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$0+$255K lifetime
- 4kaitemo72% won of 471 · whale$0+$3.4K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$0+$97K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
2 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $60 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Huye168, with $1 on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 1,136 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is 9cBa, with $35 on it, $2 lifetime loss over 7 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.