Who's betting on “Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $776 by 85 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 60 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 43% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
Who holds it
85 wallets hold a position worth $776 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $6 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,856 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is DREAMBIG., with $199 on it, $146K lifetime profit over 295 markets (82% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $199 on No.
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $38
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $738
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $199
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$38 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$6+$27K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,447 · whale$4+$1.2M lifetime
- 30xfe3b79CD12b3e00c5Fb512123e46507926b64Ce9-176876848916967% won of 3$3+$2.9K lifetime
- 4Huye16866% won of 1,136 · whale$3+$1.1K lifetime
- 5KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$2+$37K lifetime
No$738 on it
- 1DREAMBIG.82% won of 295 · sniper$199+$146K lifetime
- 2Aquetry25% won of 4$199−$62 lifetime
- 3Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$135−$59K lifetime
- 40x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$51+$27K lifetime
- 5Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$33+$163K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
2 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?"?
85 wallets hold a position worth $776 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $6 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,856 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is DREAMBIG., with $199 on it, $146K lifetime profit over 295 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.