Who's betting on “Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.9K by 123 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 80 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
Who holds it
123 wallets hold a position worth $8.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 122 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.9K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,105 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is probability, with $108 on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,325 markets (31% won).
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $8.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $165
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8.7K on it
No$165 on it
- 1probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$108+$118K lifetime
- 2hfv42% won of 44,595$12−$143K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$9+$255K lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$5+$163K lifetime
- 5SulkingCrypto36% won of 8,218$4−$5.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
2 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?"?
123 wallets hold a position worth $8.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 122 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.9K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,105 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is probability, with $108 on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,325 markets (31% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.