Who's betting on “Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $48 by 42 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 3 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 66 points.
Who holds it
42 wallets hold a position worth $48 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $7 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,856 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is commeowder, with $10 on it, $195K lifetime profit over 280 markets (72% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes.
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $37
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $11
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$37 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$7+$27K lifetime
- 2ilovetradingsomuch45% won of 22$4−$858 lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,447 · whale$4+$1.2M lifetime
- 40xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$4+$61K lifetime
- 5probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$4+$118K lifetime
No$11 on it
- 1commeowder72% won of 280 · whale$10+$195K lifetime
- 2sportkingzer40% won of 273$1−$1.9K lifetime
- 3mustbethewater45% won of 27,233 · whale$0+$74K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
2 more- Goldman Sachs$38K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: No
- Morgan Stanley$31K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?"?
42 wallets hold a position worth $48 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $7 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,856 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is commeowder, with $10 on it, $195K lifetime profit over 280 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 66 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.