Who's betting on “Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?”?
Sports · $1.3M volume · Ends April 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $1.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
57% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
900 wallets hold a position worth $397K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 898 of them. The largest Yes holder is Big-Filly, with $131K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 133 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Nibiru2, with $1.5K on it, $322K lifetime profit over 226 markets (53% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $10 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 57%
- Holders
- 692
- Money on it
- $395K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 1 · $10
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 208
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' winrate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big-Fillynoise | $131K | +$22K | 47% of 133 |
| Patek141 | $96K | +$0 | - |
| Ketabi | $55K | +$2.4K | 100% of 1 |
| 08AF | $18K | -$459K | 83% of 856 |
| 0x4dE718EA6D5aEaFf27b7207F3E7025D47E151982-1774023276043 | $12K | -$13K | 49% of 104 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nibiru2whale | $1.5K | +$322K | 53% of 226 |
| 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107whale | $240 | +$70K | 67% of 1,877 |
| TradingWave | $199 | -$190K | 15% of 276 |
| DickTurbinwhale | $97 | +$186K | 83% of 1,005 |
| GeorgeMatrixbalanced | $64 | +$2.7K | 58% of 194 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?"?
900 wallets hold a position worth $397K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 898 of them. The largest Yes holder is Big-Filly, with $131K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 133 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Nibiru2, with $1.5K on it, $322K lifetime profit over 226 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $1.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.