Who's betting on “Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $223 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is SloviaShiba, with $1.7K on it, $731 lifetime profit over 11 markets (73% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $81 on Yes.
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $770
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $81
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$770 on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$223+$104K lifetime
- 2rewardbots58% won of 354 · whale$164+$76K lifetime
- 30x0B7A6030507efE5DB145FBB57a25Ba0C5f9d86cF-177056492406287% won of 169 · sniper$81+$37K lifetime
- 4garlictrump75% won of 218 · whale$80+$29K lifetime
- 5Whywix74% won of 203 · balanced$56+$1.7K lifetime
No$3.4K on it
- 1SloviaShiba73% won of 11$1.7K+$731 lifetime
- 2zhuo1an966% won of 71 · balanced$518+$880 lifetime
- 3MiaoAlpha84% won of 43 · balanced$436+$8 lifetime
- 4Clarencetsai50% won of 16$159−$37 lifetime
- 50x2af01Ed18869D9b35F9a7dE71C7A565D806FB2A8-177253802569079% won of 24 · balanced$116+$18K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Deepseek IPO by...?
3 more- September 30, 2027$11K vol.Yes 66%No 35%Smart money: No
- December 31, 2026$11K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- December 31, 2027$11K vol.Yes 65%No 35%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $223 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is SloviaShiba, with $1.7K on it, $731 lifetime profit over 11 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.