Who's betting on “Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.0K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xcc8B1A6b60c3F62073B91ee7887538E201a1495e-1780988042009, with $131 on it, $30 lifetime profit over 9 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0x2af01Ed18869D9b35F9a7dE71C7A565D806FB2A8-1772538025690, with $1.7K on it, $18K lifetime profit over 24 markets (79% won).
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $235
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$235 on it
- 10xcc8B1A6b60c3F62073B91ee7887538E201a1495e-178098804200967% won of 9$131+$30 lifetime
- 2BridgeLake40% won of 220 · noise$56+$4.8K lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$21−$7.9K lifetime
- 40x403f…b88635% won of 117 · noise$7+$6.8K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$5+$254K lifetime
No$4.7K on it
- 10x2af01Ed18869D9b35F9a7dE71C7A565D806FB2A8-177253802569079% won of 24 · balanced$1.7K+$18K lifetime
- 2elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$953+$2.1M lifetime
- 3QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$849+$57K lifetime
- 4COOLBOY83% won of 98$708−$7.6K lifetime
- 5wish-81% won of 1,108 · whale$143+$71K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Deepseek IPO by...?
3 more- March 31, 2027$16K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- September 30, 2027$11K vol.Yes 66%No 35%Smart money: No
- December 31, 2027$11K vol.Yes 65%No 35%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xcc8B1A6b60c3F62073B91ee7887538E201a1495e-1780988042009, with $131 on it, $30 lifetime profit over 9 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0x2af01Ed18869D9b35F9a7dE71C7A565D806FB2A8-1772538025690, with $1.7K on it, $18K lifetime profit over 24 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.