Who's betting on “Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 36 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 35¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points.
Who holds it
36 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2af01Ed18869D9b35F9a7dE71C7A565D806FB2A8-1772538025690, with $610 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 24 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Brummer, with $543 on it, $25 lifetime profit over 11 markets (82% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $913
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.7K on it
- 10x2af01Ed18869D9b35F9a7dE71C7A565D806FB2A8-177253802569079% won of 24 · balanced$610+$18K lifetime
- 2DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$605+$35K lifetime
- 3Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$129+$104K lifetime
- 4timeistmoney53% won of 679 · balanced$73+$1.6K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$65−$377K lifetime
No$913 on it
- 1Brummer82% won of 11$543+$25 lifetime
- 2daweishashax55% won of 44$160−$2.4K lifetime
- 30xf22b…7eab46% won of 470$104−$4.7K lifetime
- 4kuasuo60% won of 548 · balanced$25+$184 lifetime
- 5MiaoAlpha84% won of 43 · balanced$20+$8 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Deepseek IPO by...?
3 more- March 31, 2027$16K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- September 30, 2027$11K vol.Yes 66%No 35%Smart money: No
- December 31, 2026$11K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?"?
36 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2af01Ed18869D9b35F9a7dE71C7A565D806FB2A8-1772538025690, with $610 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 24 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Brummer, with $543 on it, $25 lifetime profit over 11 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 35¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.