Who's betting on “Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?”?
Finance · $508K volume · Ends January 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $508K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
87% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
248 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 247 of them. The largest Yes holder is lennyst, with $1.9K on it, $2.0K lifetime profit over 7 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is lissartter, with $815 on it, $270K lifetime loss over 2,742 markets (56% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $6 on No.
- Smart money share
- 87%
- Holders
- 180
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 41% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $6
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lennyst | $1.9K | +$2.0K | 43% of 7 |
| DancewithRiskwhale | $1.5K | +$27K | 69% of 317 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdatewhale | $1.0K | +$97K | 67% of 1,063 |
| Dimpled-Foalwhale | $858 | +$65K | 85% of 274 |
| Username2133whale | $728 | +$76K | 53% of 267 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lissartter | $815 | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
| abze | $409 | -$1.6K | 78% of 49 |
| BurstedBubble | $355 | -$45K | 100% of 2 |
| K80PRObalanced | $352 | +$393 | 53% of 474 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedwhale | $302 | +$154K | 56% of 13,103 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $1.75–$2.0T$371K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
- $2.25–$2.5T$333K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- $1.5–$1.75T$238K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- $1.25–$1.5T$188K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- <$1.25T$183K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- $2.5–$2.75T$143K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$117K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- $3.0T+$108K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- $2.75–$3.0T$86K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?"?
248 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 247 of them. The largest Yes holder is lennyst, with $1.9K on it, $2.0K lifetime profit over 7 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is lissartter, with $815 on it, $270K lifetime loss over 2,742 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $508K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.