Who's betting on “Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?”?
Politics · $73K volume · Closed · Updated October 20, 2026
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $73K has been traded on it.
78% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
108 wallets hold a position worth $184 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them.
- Smart money share
- 78% ▲ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $45
- Holders' winrate
- 44%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 54%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $139
- Holders' winrate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Romania?
- Sorin Grindeanu$740K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Luca Niculescu$521K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Alexandru Nazare$473K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Eugen Tomac$370K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Siegfried Mureșan$293K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Ilie Bolojan$259K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Adrian Veștea$223K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Cătălin Predoiu$188K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Alexandru Rogobete$140K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Radu Burnete$132K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Delia Velculescu$123K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- George Simion$117K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Hunor Kelemen$113K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Șerban Matei$112K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Dan Motreanu$110K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Dragoș Pîslaru$108K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Victor Ponta$106K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Leonardo Badea$105K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Traian Basescu$101K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Lucian Croitoru$92K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Elena Lasconi$90K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ionuț Dumitru$85K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Calin Georgescu$85K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Anca Dragu$80K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?"?
108 wallets hold a position worth $184 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?"?
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $73K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $73K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.