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Who's betting on “Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)”?

Sports$43K traded78 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 31, 2026
45%Cavaliers🧠 smart money
56%Bucks

Smart money leans Cavaliers: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$43K
traded all time
Held now
$22K
by 78 wallets
Smart share · Cavaliers
69%
32 scored holders
Smart share · Bucks
36%
46 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 45¢ and Bucks at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of Bucks. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

69% of the money on Cavaliers and 36% of the money on Bucks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Cavaliers, by 33 points.

Who holds it

78 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is HomeRunHazard, with $3.4K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,336 markets (56% won). The largest Bucks holder is tomb2456, with $2.3K on it, $23K lifetime loss over 413 markets (94% won).

Cavaliers45%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share69%
Holders
32
Money on it
$9.8K
Holders' win rate
61%
Bucks56%
Smart money share36%
Holders
46
Money on it
$12K
Holders' win rate
86%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Cavaliers$9.8K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,336 · whale$3.4K+$3.0M lifetime
  2. 2nigiri9947% won of 17,821$2.8K−$1.3M lifetime
  3. 3scootergene83% won of 430 · whale$1.4K+$49K lifetime
  4. 4hi774c84% won of 1,321 · whale$1.3K+$142K lifetime
  5. 5NM-P63% won of 11,875 · whale$223+$9.1K lifetime

Bucks$12K on it

  1. 1tomb245694% won of 413$2.3K−$23K lifetime
  2. 273963378692% won of 257$1.9K−$123K lifetime
  3. 3ay11882% won of 33 · balanced$1.2K+$1.9K lifetime
  4. 40xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-178241580254293% won of 2,337$1.1K−$184K lifetime
  5. 5sportmaster77791% won of 459 · whale$1.1K+$1.4M lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)"?

78 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is HomeRunHazard, with $3.4K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,336 markets (56% won). The largest Bucks holder is tomb2456, with $2.3K on it, $23K lifetime loss over 413 markets (94% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)"?

Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 45¢ and Bucks at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of Bucks. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

69% of the money on Cavaliers and 36% of the money on Bucks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Cavaliers, by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.