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Who's betting on “Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?”?

Weather$22K traded53 holdersEnds January 8, 2027Updated November 3, 2026
2%Yes
98%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$22K
traded all time
Held now
$4.1K
by 53 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
36 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
17 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

53 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them.

Yes2%
Smart money share-
Holders
36
Money on it
$94
Holders' win rate
42%
No98%
Smart money share-
Holders
17
Money on it
$4.0K
Holders' win rate
63%
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Questions

Who is betting on "Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?"?

53 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.