
Who's betting on “Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $94
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 6%No 94%Too little scored money to compare
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$835K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$811K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$361K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$344K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.