Who's betting on “Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?”?
Politics · $48K volume · Ends January 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
83% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
50 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $2.0K on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $2.8K on it, $84K lifetime profit over 1,063 markets (55% won).
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 81%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooowhale | $2.0K | +$891K | 48% of 1,533 |
| eleazarnoise | $225 | +$5.5K | 42% of 223 |
| 0x214Bd3D5F423bc8D60cf4Cf76e323e199367cd8b-1762690204442balanced | $225 | +$426 | 67% of 43 |
| aaronlzrdz | $144 | -$16 | 50% of 2 |
| perseo | $98 | -$682 | 57% of 200 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cadwhale | $2.8K | +$84K | 55% of 1,063 |
| Seutervoinenwhale | $1.6K | +$130K | 82% of 514 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBillywhale | $1.5K | +$306K | 44% of 3,734 |
| 0x2a5f…6c92 | $1.4K | -$13K | 66% of 86 |
| 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188balanced | $1.3K | +$1.2K | 81% of 120 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $2.0K on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $2.8K on it, $84K lifetime profit over 1,063 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.