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Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?”?

Weather$13K traded169 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
100%Yes
0%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$13K
traded all time
Held now
$6.1K
by 169 wallets
Smart share · Yes
70%
88 scored holders
Smart share · No
71%
81 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

70% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

Who holds it

169 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 169 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x65f7…8b98, with $805 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 1,981 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is antoniosporano, with $2 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 9,406 markets (98% won).

Yes100%
Smart money share70%
Holders
88
Money on it
$6.1K
Holders' win rate
78%
No0%
Smart money share71%
Holders
81
Money on it
$6
Holders' win rate
74%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$6.1K on it

  1. 10x65f7…8b9877% won of 1,981 · whale$805+$39K lifetime
  2. 2MatrixAL99% won of 685$764−$332 lifetime
  3. 30x8888B89% won of 79 · balanced$596+$147 lifetime
  4. 4chuhe6886100% won of 25 · grinder$532+$146 lifetime
  5. 5weather-alpha.con65% won of 504 · whale$484+$792 lifetime

No$6 on it

  1. 1antoniosporano98% won of 9,406 · whale$2+$14K lifetime
  2. 2samalitopshen98% won of 7,899 · whale$0+$987 lifetime
  3. 3andyjoy52% won of 871 · balanced$0+$93 lifetime
  4. 4rocky4201952% won of 863 · whale$0+$19K lifetime
  5. 5NotaForecaster44% won of 396 · noise$0+$7.3K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?"?

169 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 169 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x65f7…8b98, with $805 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 1,981 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is antoniosporano, with $2 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 9,406 markets (98% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.