Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.2K by 194 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 47% 109 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 84 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 8, 2026.
The smart money
47% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
194 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 193 of them. The largest Yes holder is physical-geographer, with $1.0K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 555 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is 0x9506…1c4f, with $2 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 875 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 109
- Money on it
- $6.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $11
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.1K on it
- 1physical-geographer50% won of 555$1.0K−$12K lifetime
- 2hfv42% won of 44,548$500−$143K lifetime
- 3MatrixAL99% won of 673$380−$335 lifetime
- 4dontknowhappen90% won of 747$314−$25K lifetime
- 5zainvestbot100% won of 437 · grinder$300+$469 lifetime
No$11 on it
- 10x9506…1c4f96% won of 875 · whale$2+$21K lifetime
- 2pykue56% won of 936$1−$18K lifetime
- 3qqqppp-l138% won of 7,191 · noise$1+$10K lifetime
- 4OutOfMemory73% won of 3,218 · balanced$1+$8.0K lifetime
- 5yongzhuanziben00781% won of 1,851 · balanced$0+$10.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 8?
1 moreOther big weather markets
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- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?"?
194 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 193 of them. The largest Yes holder is physical-geographer, with $1.0K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 555 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is 0x9506…1c4f, with $2 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 875 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.