Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.7K by 166 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 92 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 74 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
166 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them. The largest Yes holder is MatrixAL, with $761 on it, $329 lifetime loss over 694 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is E32LowRksnd98uh18bd1dd12d12t, with $3 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 278 markets (6% won).
- Holders
- 92
- Money on it
- $9.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.7K on it
- 1MatrixAL99% won of 694$761−$329 lifetime
- 2Tsoula98% won of 1,890$675−$241 lifetime
- 3OnlyLuckNoBrain82% won of 2,544 · whale$662+$34K lifetime
- 4sleeper-service75% won of 2,255$653−$1.5K lifetime
- 5LoogLong97% won of 611 · balanced$599+$2.3K lifetime
No$10 on it
- 1E32LowRksnd98uh18bd1dd12d12t6% won of 278 · noise$3+$1.8K lifetime
- 2rocky4201351% won of 994$2−$12K lifetime
- 3hello.6770% won of 4,976 · whale$1+$60K lifetime
- 424153253243258% won of 6,708 · balanced$1+$15K lifetime
- 5OutOfMemory74% won of 3,232 · balanced$0+$8.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Too little scored money to compare
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$805K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Too little scored money to compare
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?"?
166 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them. The largest Yes holder is MatrixAL, with $761 on it, $329 lifetime loss over 694 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is E32LowRksnd98uh18bd1dd12d12t, with $3 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 278 markets (6% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.