Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 207 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 108 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 99 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 15, 2026.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
207 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 207 of them. The largest Yes holder is Calimer0, with $3 on it, $4.4K lifetime loss over 499 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is SayuCTZL, with $599 on it, $5.0K lifetime profit over 339 markets (94% won).
- Holders
- 108
- Money on it
- $19
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 99
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$19 on it
- 1Calimer062% won of 499$3−$4.4K lifetime
- 2jonej67% won of 433 · balanced$2+$4.6K lifetime
- 3arehovbrow92% won of 1,556$1−$43 lifetime
- 4priorlab48% won of 278$1−$1.3K lifetime
- 5huskyvs73% won of 306 · whale$1+$41K lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 1SayuCTZL94% won of 339 · grinder$599+$5.0K lifetime
- 20x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-17788119432439% won of 32,955 · noise$428+$25K lifetime
- 3MatrixAL99% won of 673$345−$335 lifetime
- 4Tom36575% won of 742 · balanced$191+$223 lifetime
- 5Leclerc0451% won of 1,214 · balanced$117+$3.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 15?
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?"?
207 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 207 of them. The largest Yes holder is Calimer0, with $3 on it, $4.4K lifetime loss over 499 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is SayuCTZL, with $599 on it, $5.0K lifetime profit over 339 markets (94% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 15, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 15, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.