Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.7K by 200 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 113 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 87 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 24, 2026.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
Who holds it
200 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 200 of them. The largest Yes holder is szmatt, with $589 on it, $9.5K lifetime loss over 752 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is 0xD42458184165D93Db09290c1Cb0964212Dd732cF-1790194688809, with $8 on it, $260 lifetime profit over 11 markets (9% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $161 on Yes.
- Holders
- 113
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 1 · $161
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1szmatt98% won of 752$589−$9.5K lifetime
- 2donothackmeee81% won of 253 · whale$587+$16K lifetime
- 3zainvestbot100% won of 437 · grinder$441+$469 lifetime
- 4daegoth98% won of 2,816$441−$600 lifetime
- 5win2026072699% won of 1,579 · whale$360+$1.4K lifetime
No$1 on it
- 10xD42458184165D93Db09290c1Cb0964212Dd732cF-17901946888099% won of 11$8+$260 lifetime
- 2trade111202696% won of 991$5−$1.3K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$3−$217K lifetime
- 4smallyua65% won of 347 · balanced$3+$6.7K lifetime
- 5writtensmoke68% won of 263 · balanced$2+$1.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in this event
3 more- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 24?$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 24?$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 24?$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24?"?
200 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 200 of them. The largest Yes holder is szmatt, with $589 on it, $9.5K lifetime loss over 752 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is 0xD42458184165D93Db09290c1Cb0964212Dd732cF-1790194688809, with $8 on it, $260 lifetime profit over 11 markets (9% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.