Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?”?
Smart money leans No: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 208 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 52% 129 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 79 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
52% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points.
Who holds it
208 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 208 of them. The largest Yes holder is sleeper-service, with $0 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 2,245 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is 0xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-1770555317426, with $583 on it, $31K lifetime loss over 930 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 129
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 79
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 87%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2 on it
- 1sleeper-service74% won of 2,245$0−$1.3K lifetime
- 2zQ5da3x9V9ErKAPO93% won of 335 · balanced$0+$3.9K lifetime
- 30xeB68675C06E0bB9F08ba510550912d77289Ce362-17788118920368% won of 32,617 · noise$0+$31K lifetime
- 4Qatalyst41% won of 1,566 · noise$0+$1.7K lifetime
- 5dingdingdangdang58% won of 1,430$0−$20K lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 10xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-177055531742699% won of 930$583−$31K lifetime
- 2win2026072699% won of 1,579 · whale$250+$1.4K lifetime
- 3jsahdjklahsjkdbkaslJDkasjh89% won of 262 · balanced$206+$1.5K lifetime
- 40x3970ce79% won of 2,971 · whale$159+$4.6K lifetime
- 5AlwaysAnon76% won of 443 · balanced$123+$214 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Miami on October 28?
2 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?"?
208 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 208 of them. The largest Yes holder is sleeper-service, with $0 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 2,245 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is 0xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-1770555317426, with $583 on it, $31K lifetime loss over 930 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.