Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 88 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 65 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points.
Who holds it
88 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is aapang, with $1 on it, $2.8K lifetime loss over 1,100 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is RyuAllvvIn, with $498 on it, $65 lifetime profit over 205 markets (97% won).
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4 on it
- 1aapang42% won of 1,100$1−$2.8K lifetime
- 2huskyvs73% won of 304 · whale$0+$41K lifetime
- 3hffhjzdg41% won of 322$0−$275 lifetime
- 4WeatherHK249% won of 528 · whale$0+$29K lifetime
- 5BigDikMik31% won of 156 · noise$0+$94 lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1RyuAllvvIn97% won of 205 · grinder$498+$65 lifetime
- 224153253243258% won of 6,492 · balanced$299+$15K lifetime
- 3whyboy00796% won of 514 · balanced$203+$1.1K lifetime
- 4flocci120024% won of 1,037 · noise$120+$230 lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,326 · whale$98+$7.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 28?
3 more- 27°C$22K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- 28°C$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 29°C$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?"?
88 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is aapang, with $1 on it, $2.8K lifetime loss over 1,100 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is RyuAllvvIn, with $498 on it, $65 lifetime profit over 205 markets (97% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.