Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.5K by 197 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 125 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 72 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 93¢ and No at 7¢, a 93% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 15, 2026.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
197 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 197 of them. The largest Yes holder is newbie147, with $472 on it, $7.4K lifetime profit over 3,005 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is 0x9506…1c4f, with $64 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 875 markets (96% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $144 on Yes.
- Holders
- 125
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
- Snipers
- 1 · $144
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $257
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.2K on it
- 1newbie14797% won of 3,005 · whale$472+$7.4K lifetime
- 2TunSahur93% won of 2,184 · whale$370+$18K lifetime
- 3blockpwx39% won of 309 · noise$308+$98 lifetime
- 40x477df235b7d1223f0664682ff385e62FFEDAFbb6-177151472480393% won of 662$211−$643 lifetime
- 50xC616e57B04257520a5A87305398570fD4844DcA7-176625635088694% won of 1,978 · grinder$189+$610 lifetime
No$257 on it
- 10x9506…1c4f96% won of 875 · whale$64+$21K lifetime
- 2qqqppp-l138% won of 7,200 · noise$28+$10K lifetime
- 3MiaoAlpha84% won of 43 · balanced$19+$8 lifetime
- 40x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a9521% won of 767 · noise$19+$59K lifetime
- 5automatedai24% won of 471$16−$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?"?
197 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 197 of them. The largest Yes holder is newbie147, with $472 on it, $7.4K lifetime profit over 3,005 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is 0x9506…1c4f, with $64 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 875 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 93¢ and No at 7¢, a 93% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 15, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 15, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.