Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?”?
Smart money leans No: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.1K by 172 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 52% 101 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 59% 71 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
52% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points.
Who holds it
172 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 172 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sylar012, with $798 on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,826 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is rocky42006, with $0 on it, $9.9K lifetime loss over 1,338 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 101
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.1K on it
- 1Sylar01299% won of 2,826 · whale$798+$5.1K lifetime
- 2JackMa01100% won of 885$680−$39K lifetime
- 30x3308…c27e91% won of 128 · balanced$500+$3.8K lifetime
- 4AnalPrincess99% won of 874 · grinder$419+$133 lifetime
- 5sleeper-service74% won of 2,245$328−$1.3K lifetime
No$1 on it
- 1rocky4200655% won of 1,338$0−$9.9K lifetime
- 2Qatalyst41% won of 1,566 · noise$0+$1.7K lifetime
- 3qqqppp-l138% won of 7,191 · noise$0+$10K lifetime
- 4cleaningLady100% won of 2,712$0−$468 lifetime
- 5Thermomenal66% won of 1,728 · balanced$0+$2.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?"?
172 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 172 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sylar012, with $798 on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,826 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is rocky42006, with $0 on it, $9.9K lifetime loss over 1,338 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.