Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 28?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.1K by 103 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points.
Who holds it
103 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is Ponchorete, with $2 on it, $303 lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 1DVSBSTD, with $2.1K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 11,087 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 90%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4 on it
- 1Ponchorete100% won of 3$2+$303 lifetime
- 2VitoCorleone77763% won of 313 · balanced$0+$6.4K lifetime
- 3samalitopshen98% won of 7,828 · whale$0+$939 lifetime
- 4antoniosporano98% won of 9,293 · whale$0+$14K lifetime
- 50x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-17788117736588% won of 33,270 · noise$0+$27K lifetime
No$5.1K on it
- 11DVSBSTD99% won of 11,087 · whale$2.1K+$2.7K lifetime
- 20xC8d695d901814E811D0f2a0aEba774FF67D93999-176178359555996% won of 1,445$447−$2.6K lifetime
- 3cambri70% won of 366 · balanced$309+$628 lifetime
- 4Rich-Worm93% won of 1,453 · grinder$250+$1.7K lifetime
- 524153253243258% won of 6,522 · balanced$237+$15K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 28?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 28?"?
103 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is Ponchorete, with $2 on it, $303 lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 1DVSBSTD, with $2.1K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 11,087 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.