Who's betting on Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026??
Smart money backs xAI: 71% of the money on Yes is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of No. The price favours None in 2026 at 66%.
- Markets
- 7 7 still open
- Traded
- $119K across the event
- Favourite
- 66% None in 2026
- Smart money pick
- 71% xAI
What the money says
The odds
None in 2026 Yes 66% · Anthropic Yes 17% · Google Yes 22% · OpenAI Yes 4% · DeepSeek Yes 0%.
The smart money
None in 2026: smart money on No · Anthropic: smart money on No · Google: smart money on Yes · OpenAI: smart money on Yes · DeepSeek: smart money on No.
Every market in this event
the odds and where the profitable wallets sit on each- None in 2026$29K vol.Yes 66%No 34%Smart money: No
- Anthropic$21K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- Google$16K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- OpenAI$16K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- DeepSeek$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Alibaba$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- xAI$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Follow the smart money on Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026??
Polkyo scores every holder of the 7 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: None in 2026 Yes 66%, smart money on No; Anthropic Yes 17%, smart money on No; Google Yes 22%, smart money on Yes; OpenAI Yes 4%, smart money on Yes; DeepSeek Yes 0%, smart money on No.
What are the Polymarket odds for Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026??
The biggest: None in 2026 Yes 66%, smart money on No; Anthropic Yes 17%, smart money on No; Google Yes 22%, smart money on Yes; OpenAI Yes 4%, smart money on Yes; DeepSeek Yes 0%, smart money on No.
What is smart money share?
The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.