
Who's betting on “Spread: Indiana (-20.5)”?
Smart money leans Indiana: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $52K traded all time
- Held now
- $47K by 132 wallets
- Smart share · Indiana
- 85% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · Minnesota
- 51% 66 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Indiana at 41¢ and Minnesota at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of Minnesota. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Indiana and 51% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Indiana, by 34 points.
Who holds it
132 wallets hold a position worth $47K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Indiana holder is 0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961, with $8.2K on it, $37K lifetime profit over 326 markets (83% won). The largest Minnesota holder is nigiri99, with $6.3K on it, $1.3M lifetime loss over 17,773 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $13 on Minnesota.
- Holders
- 66
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Holders
- 66
- Money on it
- $27K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $13
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsIndiana$19K on it
- 10x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-172091857796183% won of 326 · whale$8.2K+$37K lifetime
- 20xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-177925833018685% won of 668 · whale$3.2K+$257K lifetime
- 3FaroeseNationalist49% won of 1,045 · whale$2.3K+$41K lifetime
- 4JAMJAMJAM497% won of 854 · whale$1.6K+$89K lifetime
- 5--------63% won of 107$967−$2.6K lifetime
Minnesota$27K on it
- 1nigiri9947% won of 17,773$6.3K−$1.3M lifetime
- 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,311 · whale$4.3K+$3.0M lifetime
- 30x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-172295790818542% won of 1,881$3.8K−$4.7M lifetime
- 4RN160% won of 39,602 · whale$3.1K+$13M lifetime
- 5651239531459788449% won of 12,359$2.2K−$36K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Minnesota vs. Indiana
9 more- O/U 41.5$99K vol.Over 33%Under 67%Smart money: Over
- Minnesota vs. Indiana$80K vol.Minnesota 8%Indiana 93%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -21.5$54K vol.Indiana 33%Minnesota 67%Smart money: Indiana
- Spread -19.5$7.1K vol.Indiana 40%Minnesota 60%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -23.5$6.5K vol.Indiana 29%Minnesota 71%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 43.5$5.0K vol.Over 28%Under 72%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -27.5$3.7K vol.Indiana 19%Minnesota 82%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -17.5$3.6K vol.Indiana 49%Minnesota 51%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -13.5$3.1K vol.Indiana 63%Minnesota 37%Too little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Indiana (-20.5)"?
132 wallets hold a position worth $47K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Indiana holder is 0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961, with $8.2K on it, $37K lifetime profit over 326 markets (83% won). The largest Minnesota holder is nigiri99, with $6.3K on it, $1.3M lifetime loss over 17,773 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Indiana (-20.5)"?
Polymarket prices Indiana at 41¢ and Minnesota at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of Minnesota. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Indiana and 51% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Indiana, by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.