
Who's betting on “Spread: Arizona (-4.5)”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 27 wallets
- Smart share · Arizona
- - 9 scored holders
- Smart share · Texas Tech
- 91% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Arizona at 14¢ and Texas Tech at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of Texas Tech. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
27 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Arizona holder is betdge, with $1.3K on it, $255K lifetime profit over 2,360 markets (50% won). The largest Texas Tech holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $6.4K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 29,783 markets (58% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.2K on Texas Tech.
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2.2K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsArizona$1.7K on it
Texas Tech$13K on it
- 1ferrariChampions202658% won of 29,783 · whale$6.4K+$2.4M lifetime
- 2primm78% won of 1,899 · sniper$2.2K+$3.4M lifetime
- 3SunflowaRebuildYear82% won of 490 · whale$1.9K+$34K lifetime
- 4651239531459788449% won of 12,213$890−$36K lifetime
- 53879187398418945% won of 94,157 · whale$617+$210K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Arizona vs. Texas Tech
14 more- Arizona vs. Texas Tech$202K vol.Arizona 38%Texas Tech 63%Smart money: Arizona
- Spread -3.5$164K vol.Texas Tech 52%Arizona 49%Smart money: Arizona
- Spread -4.5$64K vol.Texas Tech 33%Arizona 68%Smart money: Texas Tech
- Spread -2.5$18K vol.Texas Tech 57%Arizona 43%Smart money: Arizona
- O/U 57.5$11K vol.Over 68%Under 33%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -5.5$7.9K vol.Texas Tech 28%Arizona 72%Too little scored money to compare
- Texas Tech O/U 29.5$5.4K vol.Over 73%Under 27%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 55.5$4.7K vol.Over 85%Under 15%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 45.5$4.3K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 53.5$4.0K vol.Over 87%Under 13%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 51.5$3.7K vol.Over 93%Under 8%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$3.4K vol.Texas Tech 59%Arizona 41%Too little scored money to compare
- 1H Spread -2.5$5.1K vol. · ClosedResolved ArizonaToo little scored money to compare
- 1H O/U 27.5$4.1K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderToo little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Arizona (-4.5)"?
27 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Arizona holder is betdge, with $1.3K on it, $255K lifetime profit over 2,360 markets (50% won). The largest Texas Tech holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $6.4K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 29,783 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Arizona (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Arizona at 14¢ and Texas Tech at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of Texas Tech. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.