Who's betting on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 118 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 54% 69 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on September 28, 2026 and resolved Yes. $34K has been traded on it.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
Who holds it
118 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them.
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $6
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
11 more- ↓ $4,100$53K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ↓ $4,000$42K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- ↓ $3,900$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ↑ $4,700$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $4,400$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ↑ $4,500$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $5,000$19K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $4,900$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↓ $3,800$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $4,600$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $4,800$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?"?
118 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?"?
This market closed on September 28, 2026 and resolved Yes. $34K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 28, 2026 and resolved Yes. $34K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.