Who's betting on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $42K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 115 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 54 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 61 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $42K has been traded on it.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
115 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 115 of them.
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
11 more- ↓ $4,100$53K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ↓ $4,200$34K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- ↓ $3,900$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ↑ $4,700$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $4,400$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ↑ $4,500$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $5,000$19K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $4,900$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↓ $3,800$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $4,600$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ↑ $4,800$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?"?
115 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 115 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?"?
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $42K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $42K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.