Who's betting on “Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is marksman, with $78 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 940 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is thefakenick, with $469 on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (57% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $329
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $986
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$329 on it
- 1marksman46% won of 940 · whale$78+$21K lifetime
- 2TR42231% won of 16$49−$6.1K lifetime
- 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$41+$72K lifetime
- 4Lechanga58% won of 212$29−$3.7K lifetime
- 50xCB5f91ff73441fF61052EDc401E687373CE5c683-171738617756750% won of 2$20−$133 lifetime
No$986 on it
- 1thefakenick57% won of 1,104 · whale$469+$57K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$145+$127K lifetime
- 3oliman264% won of 1,228 · whale$130+$106K lifetime
- 4ludvigttt69% won of 233 · balanced$95+$2.7K lifetime
- 5DavidShekel61% won of 290 · whale$59+$173K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion
4 more- Guadalajara$30K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Cruz Azul$24K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: No
- América$16K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: No
- Monterrey$14K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is marksman, with $78 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 940 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is thefakenick, with $469 on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.