Who's betting on “Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 44% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
44% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is marksman, with $150 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 940 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Nooserac, with $965 on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 3,090 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $567
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$567 on it
- 1marksman46% won of 940 · whale$150+$21K lifetime
- 2riitmo62% won of 481$140−$6.0K lifetime
- 3kakarotmu8% won of 106$87−$881 lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,298$32−$52K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$29+$127K lifetime
No$2.3K on it
- 1Nooserac60% won of 3,090 · whale$965+$1.4M lifetime
- 2thefakenick57% won of 1,104 · whale$783+$57K lifetime
- 3funplayer-83% won of 366 · whale$405+$55K lifetime
- 4legendofanime61% won of 757$93−$7.4K lifetime
- 50xe004e9f42772668f46D763aA389D134d9fC47849-176194870111576% won of 191 · balanced$39+$1.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion
4 more- Cruz Azul$24K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: No
- América$16K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: No
- Monterrey$14K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Toluca$14K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is marksman, with $150 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 940 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Nooserac, with $965 on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 3,090 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.