Who's betting on “Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.9K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 36 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Amrilyo, with $34 on it, $577 lifetime loss over 195 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is rkreddyzoomin, with $3.0K on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 74 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $101
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$101 on it
- 1Amrilyo48% won of 195$34−$577 lifetime
- 2sabsabinxz70% won of 99 · whale$29+$84K lifetime
- 350cents35% won of 443 · noise$13+$6.3K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$11+$28K lifetime
- 5ef3arc40% won of 213$5−$46K lifetime
No$4.8K on it
- 1rkreddyzoomin76% won of 74 · balanced$3.0K+$1.0K lifetime
- 2redpanda13595% won of 106 · balanced$661+$2.2K lifetime
- 3Jest5573% won of 1,084 · whale$526+$145K lifetime
- 4apiwat95% won of 279 · grinder$196+$1.9K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$69−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
6 more- ↓ 10,000$29K vol.Yes 25%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- ↓ 4,000$18K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ 14,000$17K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: No
- ↓ 8,000$16K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- ↑ 18,000$13K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↓ 6,000$12K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Amrilyo, with $34 on it, $577 lifetime loss over 195 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is rkreddyzoomin, with $3.0K on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 74 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.