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Who's betting on “Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?”?

Finance$16K traded43 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
4%Yes
96%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 51% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$3.4K
by 43 wallets
Smart share · Yes
34%
24 scored holders
Smart share · No
51%
19 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

34% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.

Who holds it

43 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is paula0xa, with $26 on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 24 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is ef3arc, with $1.4K on it, $46K lifetime loss over 213 markets (40% won).

Yes4%
Smart money share34%
7 days ago 34%a day ago 34%now 34%
Holders
24
Money on it
$139
Holders' win rate
56%
No96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share51%
7 days ago 51%a day ago 50%now 51%
Holders
19
Money on it
$3.3K
Holders' win rate
60%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$139 on it

  1. 1paula0xa92% won of 24$26−$1.8K lifetime
  2. 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$25−$378K lifetime
  3. 3LlamaLoco000045% won of 299 · noise$24+$325K lifetime
  4. 4Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$20−$59K lifetime
  5. 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$11−$485K lifetime

No$3.3K on it

  1. 1ef3arc40% won of 213$1.4K−$46K lifetime
  2. 2XRPisSH8T73% won of 52 · whale$800+$45K lifetime
  3. 3codefly68% won of 104$575+$1.5K lifetime
  4. 4cryptoincome91% won of 1,010$261−$18K lifetime
  5. 5top-gamble81% won of 121 · balanced$179+$4.8K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?"?

43 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is paula0xa, with $26 on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 24 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is ef3arc, with $1.4K on it, $46K lifetime loss over 213 markets (40% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

34% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.