Who's betting on “Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 49% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $434 by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 14% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $434 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them.
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $272
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $162
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
1 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $434 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.